Breaking Down BYU Basketball’s Schedule By KenPom Ratings

Nov 6, 2022, 8:19 PM

BYU Basketball, Fousseyni Traore, Utah Utes...

One of the top games on the 2022-23 BYU basketball schedule is a home game against the rival Utah Utes. (Nate Edwards/BYU Photo)

(Nate Edwards/BYU Photo)

PROVO, Utah – The 2022-23 BYU basketball season tips off this week. It’s BYU’s final year as a member of the West Coast Conference, so it’s the last time you’ll see a schedule like the one the Cougars will face this season.

Key non-conference games will be important for shaping an NCAA Tournament at-large resume, a handful of Quad One conference games, and then hoping some teams become much better than their projections.

When BYU joins the Big 12, it’s much easier to figure out. 18 Quad One games in conference play with a bunch of Top-50 KenPom games. It’s going to be a huge step up for BYU. But that’s next season. So what does the schedule look like this year?

Let’s break down BYU’s schedule by the KenPom ratings, starting with the highest-rated BYU opponent, Gonzaga, to the lowest in Lindenwood. Keep in mind BYU will play two games against Division-II squads. Those programs don’t factor into the ratings.

BYU starts the 2022-23 season at No. 44 in the KenPom ratings. Typically it takes around 10 games to get a clear read of where the ratings truly lie on teams, but it’s a good starting position for a BYU squad that looks to get back to the Big Dance after a year away.

No. 3 Gonzaga

Dates: January 12, 2023 (Home) & February 11, 2023 (Away)

KenPom Predictions

Home: 30% win probability

Road: 14%

No. 18 San Diego State

Date: November 11, 2022

Location: Viejas Arena

KenPom Prediction

28% win probability

No. 23 Creighton

Date: December 10, 2022

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena (Las Vegas)

KenPom Prediction

41% win probability

No. 36 USC

Date: November 23, 2022

Location: Imperial Arena (Bahamas – Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament)

KenPom Prediction

46% win probability

No. 47 Saint Mary’s

Dates: January 28, 2023 (Home) & February 18, 2023 (Away)

KenPom Predictions

Home: 63% win probability

Away: 40%

No. 72 Utah

Date: December 17, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

72% win probability

No. 101 San Francisco

Dates: January 21, 2023 (Away) & February 25, 2023 (Home)

KenPom Predictions

Away: 61% win probability

Home: 81%

No. 111 Santa Clara

Dates: January 19, 2023 (Away) & February 16, 2023 (Home)

KenPom Predictions

Away: 65% win probability

Home: 83%

No. 121 Portland

Date: December 31, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

85% win probability

No. 128 Utah Valley

Date: December 7, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

86% win probability

No. 133 Missouri State

Date: November 16, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

88% win probability

No. 139 San Diego

Date: January 7, 2023

Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion

KenPom Prediction

73% win probability

No. 142 LMU

Dates: January 5, 2023 (Away) & February 2, 2023 (Home)

KenPom Predictions

Away: 73% win probability

Home: 88%

No. 164 South Dakota

Date: December 3, 2022

Location: Vivint Arena (Salt Lake City)

KenPom Prediction

88% win probability

No. 193 Pepperdine

Dates: January 14, 2023 (Home) & February 9, 2023 (Away)

KenPom Predictions

Home: 94% win probability

Away: 84%

No. 231 Weber State

Date: December 22, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

95% win probability

No. 247 Nicholls State

Date: November 19, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

96% win probability

No. 251 Pacific

Dates: December 29, 2022 (Away) & February 4, 2023 (Home)

KenPom Predictions

Away: 88% win probability

Home: 96%

No. 345 Idaho State

Date: November 7, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

99% win probability

No. 347 Lindenwood

Date: December 20, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

99% win probability

Mitch Harper is a BYU Insider for and host of the Cougar Tracks Podcast (SUBSCRIBE) and Cougar Sports Saturday (Saturday from 12–3 p.m.) on KSL Newsradio. Follow him on Twitter: @Mitch_Harper.

  • BYU Cougars Scoreboard

  • BYU Cougars Team Leaders

  • BYU Cougars Standings

BYU Cougars

BYU/Utah, Basketball Rivalry History...

Mitch Harper

Looking Back At BYU/Utah Basketball Matchups In Non-Conference Era

Taking a look back at the rivalry meetings between BYU and Utah on the hardwood since the two schools were non-conference opponents.

7 hours ago


Kyle Ireland

BYU, Utah Standouts Land In 2024 NFL Mock Drafts

A pair of local college football players landed in the first round of recent 2024 NFL mock drafts published by CBS Sports.

9 hours ago

BYU Basketball, Mark Pope, Undefeated start...

Mitch Harper

Mark Pope Built BYU Basketball Roster With Goal Of Reaching Final Four

BYU basketball head coach Mark Pope joined Hans & Scotty G. on the KSL Sports Zone to discuss the early season success.

12 hours ago

How To Watch Utah BYU Basketball...

Chandler Holt

How To Watch Utah Utes Vs. BYU Cougars Men’s Basketball

Utah Basketball hosts the BYU Cougars in the Jon M. Huntsman Center on Saturday. Here is how to watch, stream, and listen.

13 hours ago

Jeff Grimes, BYU Football, Kansas Offensive Coordinator...

Mitch Harper

Former BYU OC Jeff Grimes Lands Big 12 Play-Caller Job

Jeff Grimes is staying in the Big 12 Conference as an offensive coordinator.

15 hours ago

BYU Football, Miles Davis, Transfer Portal...

Mitch Harper

BYU RB Miles Davis Enters NCAA Transfer Portal

Veteran BYU running back is entering the Transfer Portal.

19 hours ago

Sponsored Articles

Follow @kslsports...

The Road Home Mediathon 2023

The KSL Sports Zone and are proud to support the all-day Mediathon 2023 at the Road Home, an annual tradition to raise money and other essential items for the Road Home, a Homeless Shelter.


KSL Sports

Jazz Notes Newsletter: Sign Up Now

Sign up today for the Jazz Notes newsletter. Get insider analysis, game recaps and opportunities to win tickets!

3 kids wearing real salt lake jerseys smiling...

Real Salt Lake

6 Reasons You Need to Experience a RSL Matchday

RSL Games are a great way to spend time with your family with fun activities, good food, and traditions you can only experience at the field.

High angle view of the beautiful Rose Bowl Stadium...

KSL Digital Sales

How to Prepare for the 2023 Rose Bowl

Everything you need to know to plan your 2023 Rose Bowl trip in Pasadena, California. This year, the Utes will face Penn State.


KSL Digital Sales

Notable Moments From The Utah Jazz Season… So Far

At the beginning of the season, the Utah Jazz were second to last. Now they rank in the top 10 teams in the Western Conference.

Football soccer ball on grass field on stadium...

KSL Digital Sales

Everything You Need to Know to Watch the 2022 World Cup

Find out where and when to watch the upcoming games and final match for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, including where to find live updates.

Breaking Down BYU Basketball’s Schedule By KenPom Ratings