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Breaking Down BYU Basketball’s Schedule By KenPom Ratings

Nov 6, 2022, 8:19 PM
BYU Basketball, Fousseyni Traore, Utah Utes...
One of the top games on the 2022-23 BYU basketball schedule is a home game against the rival Utah Utes. (Nate Edwards/BYU Photo)
(Nate Edwards/BYU Photo)

PROVO, Utah – The 2022-23 BYU basketball season tips off this week. It’s BYU’s final year as a member of the West Coast Conference, so it’s the last time you’ll see a schedule like the one the Cougars will face this season.

Key non-conference games will be important for shaping an NCAA Tournament at-large resume, a handful of Quad One conference games, and then hoping some teams become much better than their projections.

When BYU joins the Big 12, it’s much easier to figure out. 18 Quad One games in conference play with a bunch of Top-50 KenPom games. It’s going to be a huge step up for BYU. But that’s next season. So what does the schedule look like this year?

Let’s break down BYU’s schedule by the KenPom ratings, starting with the highest-rated BYU opponent, Gonzaga, to the lowest in Lindenwood. Keep in mind BYU will play two games against Division-II squads. Those programs don’t factor into the ratings.

BYU starts the 2022-23 season at No. 44 in the KenPom ratings. Typically it takes around 10 games to get a clear read of where the ratings truly lie on teams, but it’s a good starting position for a BYU squad that looks to get back to the Big Dance after a year away.

No. 3 Gonzaga

Dates: January 12, 2023 (Home) & February 11, 2023 (Away)

KenPom Predictions

Home: 30% win probability

Road: 14%

No. 18 San Diego State

Date: November 11, 2022

Location: Viejas Arena

KenPom Prediction

28% win probability

No. 23 Creighton

Date: December 10, 2022

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena (Las Vegas)

KenPom Prediction

41% win probability

No. 36 USC

Date: November 23, 2022

Location: Imperial Arena (Bahamas – Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament)

KenPom Prediction

46% win probability

No. 47 Saint Mary’s

Dates: January 28, 2023 (Home) & February 18, 2023 (Away)

KenPom Predictions

Home: 63% win probability

Away: 40%

No. 72 Utah

Date: December 17, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

72% win probability

No. 101 San Francisco

Dates: January 21, 2023 (Away) & February 25, 2023 (Home)

KenPom Predictions

Away: 61% win probability

Home: 81%

No. 111 Santa Clara

Dates: January 19, 2023 (Away) & February 16, 2023 (Home)

KenPom Predictions

Away: 65% win probability

Home: 83%

No. 121 Portland

Date: December 31, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

85% win probability

No. 128 Utah Valley

Date: December 7, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

86% win probability

No. 133 Missouri State

Date: November 16, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

88% win probability

No. 139 San Diego

Date: January 7, 2023

Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion

KenPom Prediction

73% win probability

No. 142 LMU

Dates: January 5, 2023 (Away) & February 2, 2023 (Home)

KenPom Predictions

Away: 73% win probability

Home: 88%

No. 164 South Dakota

Date: December 3, 2022

Location: Vivint Arena (Salt Lake City)

KenPom Prediction

88% win probability

No. 193 Pepperdine

Dates: January 14, 2023 (Home) & February 9, 2023 (Away)

KenPom Predictions

Home: 94% win probability

Away: 84%

No. 231 Weber State

Date: December 22, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

95% win probability

No. 247 Nicholls State

Date: November 19, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

96% win probability

No. 251 Pacific

Dates: December 29, 2022 (Away) & February 4, 2023 (Home)

KenPom Predictions

Away: 88% win probability

Home: 96%

No. 345 Idaho State

Date: November 7, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

99% win probability

No. 347 Lindenwood

Date: December 20, 2022

Location: Marriott Center

KenPom Prediction

99% win probability

Mitch Harper is a BYU Insider for KSLsports.com and host of the Cougar Tracks Podcast (SUBSCRIBE) and Cougar Sports Saturday (Saturday from 12–3 p.m.) on KSL Newsradio. Follow him on Twitter: @Mitch_Harper.

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Breaking Down BYU Basketball’s Schedule By KenPom Ratings